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Might Shortage of Advanced Java Developers Reach As High As 50% By 2003?
Might Shortage of Advanced Java Developers Reach As High As 50% By 2003?

(July 19, 2002) - Less than 50% of the job market demand for efficient Java developers will be satisfied by 2003, according to the Gartner Group, indicating that the demand for Java developers is much higher than the actual availability.

One of the main reasons for this is that developers experience an initial decreased level of productivity when migrating from other languages such as COBOL and RAD/4GL to Java. The leap, in many cases, is just too demanding. "Due to the steep learning curve, less than 50% of the job market demand for efficient Java developers will be satisfied by 2003," says Gartner.

"Learning the essential differences and complexities of the Java platform is not a short process," comments Ben van Niekerk, product manager at Compuware SA.

Several analysts have indicated that in order to meet the challenges of low Java productivity and to maintain J2EE -based Java applications, there is need for a Java development platform with the productivity of a 4GL environment.

Says Giga Group, "As the market crosses the chasm there is a need for highly productive Java tools that can be used by mainstream developers coming off 4GLs and COBOL."

Compuware's OptimalJ Professional Edition enables developers of varying skill levels to generate working J2EE applications directly from a visual model. Application customization can also be achieved using Optimal J's Business Rules Editor. Developers can add both static and dynamic business rules at the model level. OptimalJ then translates the business rules into Java code and implements them in them in the appropriate places in the applications.

Comments Hurwitz Group, "OptimalJ represents a new paradigm in Java development because it offers the productivity gains of traditional 4GLs and simplifies the development process for developers off all levels, which is necessary for broader Java usage."

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JDJ News Desk monitors the world of Java to present IT professionals with updates on technology advances, business trends, new products and standards in the Java and i-technology space.

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Reader Feedback: Page 1 of 17

I know of some people who said they applied to Company X, Y, Z, etc., and when they don't get the job they blame H1B. But when I go the company's web site, or look at the job ad on the monster.com or other job site, it says US CITIZENS AND GREED CARD HOLDERS ONLY - NO VISA SPONSORSHIP.

H1B visas are now being issued at the lowest rate since 1997, and the majority of companies who have open positions are not hiring any H1B's at all. Remember how much _easier_ it was to get a job in 1999 when H1B visas were being issued at TWICE the rate they are now?

The first steps by humans on another planetary body were taken by Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin on July 20, 1969. That was over 33 years ago, and you Indian scum are two years away from sending an unmanned probe to the moon. The United States always has and always will be the technology leader of the world. You Indians are not worthy of walking on United States soil, go home you are not welcome here.
Steve Sweeney

Good points!
Steven P Sweeney

No wonder there are so many poorly written computer books out there, they let anyone write one. The H1Bs are here for one reason to reduce the rates as far as possible. There should be some protection of American workers by the Government. And if you want to get technical the Native Americans were ordinally immigrants from Asia who came across a land bridge from Siberia to Alaska. So get on your knees and kiss my American butt.
Steven P Sweeney

Stop whining about lack of Jobs in Java.
In a global economy only the fittest survive. For heavens sake Stop blaming H1B workers. If they have more merit so be it!

An interesting perspective on the software industry.

Remember
"All your bases are belongs to us"

If people had the same opinion about this particular video game based on the above caption, that game would never have been famous.

Dont write off a java programmer's competency based on his/her English proficiency alone. I agree it goes a long way in communicating during the course of a job, etc but its not the end of all. Wade around any of the multitude of open source mailing lists and you will see that the best programmers are not necessarily the most proficient in English.

You who was brought up thinking that "I ain't done nothing wrong" is correct English.

American english is as f****d up as any other. So, dont go about preaching about fluency and linking it to java proficiency.

I think you're being a) overly litteral and b) a bit harsh. Agreed, Java came out in 95.... but I believe he meant 20 years in software development, with recent experience in Java... poorly phrased on his part.

As to the the 7 year cutoff.. I remember when it was 98.. I was claiming 4 years Java experience.. more than one interview asked how this was possible... I was a beta tester!! Java 0.1 was pre-released for beta testing prior to it's official releas at Web Innovations (in SF) One in 95. There was a small write-up in wired magazine in 94 about Oak, and how it was going to be released as a fully OO language called Java. By sending an email to Sun, one could get the beta code and become a registered beta tester. Some of us did.

the moral here: Never be too quick to jump to conclusions without verifying ALL the facts and making sure you know the circumstances of the situation.

The economy's in the crapper, and H1's don't have anything to do with it. Programmers are mostly a non-revenue generating expense. They are the first to be cut. I work for a company of approx. 20,000 people. Every department and business has openings except IT. The IT hiring is frozen solid, and the IT category was actually taken off our website. The 90's drove IT salaries too high, so businesses are going to drive the salaries down to a respectable level. It's simply market forces at work.

Hey,

You dont have to immigrate .You dont have experience, good skill set and engineering degree in relevant field.
It's a competitive world .

I think the real issue for employers is finding more bang for their buck. That is, not only are employers looking for great Java developers, but also somebody with some management skills, leadership skills, and maybe some other programming skills. The purse strings have tighted up and employers are looking for that one great person that could take the place of 2 or 3 people. In the end, I feel a lot of employers are afraid to pull the trigger and take some risk, they just can't afford it. Gone are the days where companies just needed a warm body to fill a slot. The thought a few years ago was to throw as many people at a project, rush it to market so they could get as much market share as possible. Finally, the market has corrected itself and now more emphasis is being put on ROI, the new buzzword of the new millenium. Time to change those old buzzword bingo games...

I wouldn't be surprised if this was put about by Microsoft! If people think there is going to be a skill shortage in one area then they move to any area that is supposidly saturated...Microsoft are at the moment going through an aggresive campaign in trying to promote their .Net platform which they know is not going as planned....J2EE has years on .Net so the only possible thing is to drop to slander (the oldest MS trick in the book)

There is plenty of Java developers out there...If you want to protect your business and your job keep using J2EE/Java technology and all will be fine...Common sence tells you that anything that can run on multiple platforms cannot fail...

Java is also miles ahead with there P2P technology. JXTA making head way here way before anyone else...but what have Microsoft had to say about it...same old slander...

I can remember when they said that Java would go nowhere and that it was a language going through a fad but when I look at .Net I cannot help but notice all of the good ideas that they have tried to copy from Java and claim as their own...Microsoft has no originality and since their very first conception they have always stolen and weaved their way through the industry...

Give it 5 years from now and I know that it is going to be J2EE way out there and also P2P will be gaining a foot...no doubt Microsoft will have there own P2P protocol called MS-JXTA or something...if you know whay I mean...

Go and try to elect leaders who are more american. They keep passing bills that help the corporations who cough up money for their campaigns.m In turn the common man gets screwed.

That is great idea. Atleast you are thinking. But don't be disappointed.It is not India or America as long as you are working class and stay as working class.

To guy from London,

I am not sure what you don't understand how capitalism works. Exploitation. Workers against workers. Richness by expoting poor. It is just a repetetion of colonialism tactics. The difference now capitalism went beyond nationalism. It doesn't care whether workers in US,Uk,India are fed right but cares about maximizing profits. Mavericks of capitalism beyond nationalis,. I feel pitty for those who still think nationalism and take pride. That thinking itself shows their intelligence.

It doesn't matter whether you are hired to pay you debts or live off the street. But how to maxximize profits.


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